The Option Premium

The Option Premium
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Most Recent Posts, Alerts, Updates

📩 The Implied Perspective Weekly Update - September 13, 2026

The VIX jumped 9% into Fed week. Where all three October trades stand, and the one number that gets us out of J&J.

📩 The Income Foundation Weekly Update - September 13, 2026

Both roll decisions are on the books, one of them the first covered call the Dutch Bros campaign has sold below cost, and Netflix goes into expiration week $1.40 above its strike. The plan for Friday's close is already written.

📩 The Option Premium Weekly Issue - September 13, 2026

Core CPI Ran Hot, Hike Odds Hit 90%, and Wednesday Brings the First Hike of the Warsh Era. Oracle's 65% Premium Crushed to 21 on Schedule. Energy Re-Entered the Sell Zone Rich and Trending. And Launch Is Just Over a Week Away.

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📩 Wealth Without Shares Weekly Update - September 13, 2026

The Dow just had its worst week since March, the Fed is one meeting from a hike, and for the first time in this letter's history the famous indexes themselves crossed our wage line. Fear went wholesale this week. We are in the retail business.

High Probability Options Strategy: Why the Law of Large Numbers Is the Bedrock of Consistent Trading

Why a 75 percent win rate guarantees losing streaks, how sample size reveals your real edge, and a fully priced 79 percent probability trade on SMH.

Rolling High-Probability Vertical Spreads: The Delta Playbook for Protecting Your Edge

How to know when a threatened credit spread deserves a reset, how to execute the roll, and the honest accounting most rolling articles skip.

Three Bearish Options Hedges: Calm Tape, Cheap Fear, and a Useful Moment to Be Boring

Three defined-risk ways to hedge a long portfolio: put spreads, bear call spreads, and VIX call spreads, with current numbers and how each honestly breaks.

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🚨 The Income Foundation Trade Alert: September 10, 2026

Adding New Positions

Three Options Strategies Backed by Decades of Research (And What the Studies Actually Found)

Covered calls, cash-secured puts, and collars: what decades of academic research actually found, with exact numbers, and the fine print the hype machine skips.

The Probability Stack: How Professional Options Sellers Think About Risk

Expected move, delta, probability OTM, and probability of touch are one system, not four numbers. The complete pre-trade risk framework for premium sellers.

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📩 The Implied Perspective Weekly Update - September 6, 2026

The September condor's full arc: five weeks underwater, out at 13.8%. Plus three new October trades.

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📩 The Income Foundation Weekly Update - September 6, 2026

Two roll triggers crossed in the same week, the shaded card the board carried for three issues finally answered with the steepest earnings drop of the season, and a fund whose volatility read zero two weeks ago just took the number one seat.

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